Federal Election 2025: Live Updates and Projected Results Across Canada
Editor’s Note: This is an ongoing story. Please refresh the page or return later for the latest updates.
(Image courtesy CBC)
8:44 PM PST: Green Party Co-Leader Elizabeth May is projected to win her riding of Saanich—Gulf Islands.
8:42 PM PST: Conservative Sukhman Singh Gill wins the riding of Abbotsford – South Langley, overcoming an independent challenge from former BC Liberal MLA Mike de Jong.
8:40 PM PST: As expected, Green Party Co-Leader Jonathan Pedneault is projected to lose his riding of Outremont. Pedneault, a 35-year-old former journalist and newcomer to politics, focused much of his campaign on door-to-door outreach, but faced a strong challenge from Liberal star candidate Rachel Bendayan. Bendayan, first elected in a 2019 byelection, was appointed minister of immigration, refugees, and citizenship by Carney when he formed his first cabinet in March. Early results show Pedneault trailing behind candidates from all the major parties.
8:35 PM PST: Alexandre Boulerice is projected to hold onto his seat in Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie. Boulerice said he is grateful to voters for giving him another opportunity to represent them. He committed to holding the Liberal government accountable and to continuing his fight on behalf of Quebecers and Canadians seeking better. Boulerice will return to the House of Commons for a fifth term. He is the last surviving Quebec MP from the 2011 Orange Wave.
8:23 PM PST: Nathalie Provost, a Liberal candidate who was inadvertently caught up in an early misstep by Carney, is projected to win in the Quebec riding of Châteauguay–Les Jardins-de-Napierville. Provost, an engineer and a strong advocate for gun control, survived the 1989 mass shooting at Montreal’s École Polytechnique. While campaigning in Quebec a few weeks ago, Carney mistakenly introduced her as “Nathalie Pronovost” and incorrectly stated that the tragedy occurred at Concordia University. Provost dismissed the errors as honest mistakes.
8:18 PM PST: In Nova Scotia, the Liberal Party has won nine seats, and the Conservatives have won two. This marks a gain from the 2021 election, in which the Liberals had eight seats and the Conservatives had three.
7:35 PM PST: As expected, Liberal Leader Mark Carney is projected to win his riding of Nepean.
7:32 PM PST: As expected, Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet is projected to win his riding of Belœil—Chambly.
7:15 PM PST: Mark Carney and the Liberals are expected to form government; whether it will be a minority or majority government remains to be seen.
7:06 PM PST: As expected, People’s Party Leader Maxime Bernier is projected to lose his riding of Beauce.
6:40 PM PST: Prince Edward Island has officially gained all four seats for the Liberal party, which is exactly consistent with the prior 2021 results.
6:23 PM PST: In Newfoundland and Labrador, the Conservatives have gained three seats and the Liberals have gained four. In 2021, the Liberals had amassed six seats in the province, while the Conservatives only had one in the province. There was an upset in the riding of Terra Nova - The Peninsulas, where the Conservatives won against the projected-to-win Liberals, with 338Canada reporting that the Conservatives originally had only an eight percent chance of winning.
3:35 PM PST: The federal election is ongoing today in Canada. Join Coastal Front as we provide updates on the projected wins for each party throughout the day. Candidates in this election include incumbent Prime Minister Mark Carney of the Liberal Party, Official Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party, Jagmeet Singh of the New Democratic Party, Yves-François Blanchet of the Bloc Québécois, and co-leaders Elizabeth May and Jonathan Pedneault of the Green Party.
According to a YouGov poll conducted this month, the top five issues most important to Canadian voters are Canada–U.S. relations, housing, inflation, healthcare, and the job market or the economy.
Current polling by 338Canada shows that the incumbent Liberal Party of Canada is expected to take home the majority of votes, with 186 projected seats in Parliament, which would keep Mark Carney as the current prime minister. The Conservative Party is projected to remain the Official Opposition with 124 seats in Parliament. The NDP and Bloc Québécois are expected to lose seats and shrink in comparison to the 2021 election — the NDP going from 25 to 9 seats, and the Bloc going from 32 to 23. The Green Party is expected to lose a seat or maintain its total of two in Parliament.
